Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 8.313741 9.544457 10.915542 12.559936 14.483409 16.667908 19.345012
2025-01-19 6.573312 8.122797 9.995276 12.438067 15.560238 19.442948 24.677355
2025-01-26 5.757922 7.510768 9.760468 12.886893 17.162227 22.865984 31.155358
2025-02-02 5.132217 6.991836 9.497500 13.164216 18.466422 25.968298 37.588361
2025-02-09 4.733878 6.697315 9.457627 13.685251 20.110339 29.694622 45.427679
2025-02-16 4.175107 6.093776 8.887789 13.333130 20.378452 31.371567 50.341231
2025-02-23 3.776352 5.670786 8.519906 13.215047 20.952114 33.544506 56.325311
2025-03-02 3.440649 5.301954 8.184775 13.091219 21.473206 35.661658 62.495701
2025-03-09 3.137640 4.949990 7.833285 12.888010 21.815619 37.489891 68.395363
2025-03-16 2.856484 4.603862 7.452685 12.584606 21.931530 38.908757 73.716131
2025-03-23 2.763631 4.557852 7.561313 13.133717 23.629122 43.416689 85.778329
2025-03-30 2.614008 4.400087 7.461086 13.292271 24.612138 46.688346 95.855585
2025-04-06 2.435733 4.179721 7.235766 13.205444 25.133565 49.164420 104.773509
2025-04-13 2.264705 3.957152 6.985605 13.043501 25.484776 51.340849 113.422035
2025-04-20 2.196088 3.913549 7.057773 13.513181 27.178296 56.574278 130.126497
2025-04-27 2.109744 3.828779 7.043279 13.805140 28.530882 61.255520 146.409724
2025-05-04 2.060104 3.808580 7.149537 14.354389 30.510113 67.642991 168.305836
2025-05-11 1.911801 3.585095 6.836074 13.983159 30.377719 69.065694 177.381051
2025-05-18 1.802628 3.430018 6.646288 13.858682 30.796572 71.876693 190.835570
2025-05-25 1.701983 3.284108 6.462669 13.728154 31.183716 74.663440 204.802550
2025-06-01 1.601602 3.131111 6.251622 13.513968 31.341449 76.886031 217.579093
2025-06-08 1.499733 2.967608 6.005339 13.194210 31.198851 78.299428 228.192812
2025-06-15 1.482464 2.979895 6.136837 13.772951 33.408193 86.407056 261.872704